At 4:05 ET, the Cardinals and Bengals go head-to-head at State Farm Stadium in this week 5 NFL matchup. Catch the action on FOX with the game scheduled for Sunday, October 8th.
Cincinnati enters this non-conference game against the Cardinals as 3 point road favorites. Keep reading to discover my insights and betting recommendations.
Cardinals vs. Bengals Betting Analysis
In the AFC-North standings, the Bengals are in 4th place with a record of 1-3. Within the AFC, Cincinnati is 15th, heading into week 5. The Bengals currently hold a 0-4 record against the spread. Currently, their average scoring margin is -11.2.
In the Bengals’ loss to the Titans, the Bengals finished with 211 yards of offense comapred to the Titans’ 400. The Titans ran the ball 33 times for 173 yards and averaged 8.7 yards per passing attempt for 227 yards. Cincinnati also lost the game vs. the spread as they were 2.5 point favorites. Joe Burrow did not throw or run for a touchdown, while completing 20 of 30 passes for 165 yards. Burrow ended the game with a passer rating of 80.
Coming into their game against Bengals, the Cardinals are trying to improve on a 1-3 record. This mark has them at 4th in the NFC-West and 14th in the NFC. The Cardinals have a 3-1 record against the spread this season. So far this season, their average scoring margin is -3.5.
The Cardinals’ loss to the 49ers is one of their worst margins of defeat in recent history. The Cardinals’ defense allowed 395 yards of total offense which included 124 yards on the ground and 271 through the air. Offensively, the Cardinals finished with 362 of total offense. Arizona’s 19 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 14.5 point underdogs. Joshua Dobbs threw for 265 yards while completing 68% of his passes and throwing for 265. Dobbs threw for two touchdowns.
Last season, the Bengals and Cardinals did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Cardinals have the leg up at 2-1. However, against the spread the Bengals went 2-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 2-1 on an average of 50 points per game.
Cardinals vs. Bengals Odds Analysis
In the context of the current moneyline odds, Arizona currently holds a 43% implied win probability, accompanied by a moneyline payout of +131. On the flip side, the Bengals’ implied win percentage is 61% with a moneyline of -158.
The over/under market has undergone changes since its opening at 42.5, currently situated at 44.5.
From the time the lines were first released, Cincinnati has gone from being -9.5 point favorites to their current line of -3 (-109). Conversely, Arizona is currently +3 (-113) point underdogs at home.
How to Bet Cardinals vs. Bengals in Arizona
On the spread, I’m taking Arizona at +3. I’m expecting the Arizona rushing attack to take advantage of a Cincinnati defense that struggled to defend the run in their most recent game. Lock in Arizona +3.
For this matchup, I’m going to be hammering the under, as our model has the Bengals and Cardinals combining for 40 points. Right now the over/under line is sitting at 44.5, so I’d recommend getting some action on the under.
- ArizonaSharp ATS Prediction: Cardinals +3
- ArizonaSharp OU Predict: Under 44.5
