This week’s 11 CFB showdown between the Sun Devils and Bruins can be found on PACN at 9:00 (11/11/23). The game will be held at Rose Bowl in Pasadena (CA).
The odds for this week 11 Pac-12 matchup have the Bruins as the 17 point favorites at home. Are they a lock to cover vs. the Sun Devils? Read on to find out.
Bruins vs. Sun Devils Betting Analysis
As Arizona State prepares to take on UCLA, they have a record of 2-7. The Sun Devils most recently lost to Utah by a score of 55-3.
The Sun Devils’ ATS record stands at 4-3-1 for the season after failing to cover Utah in their previous game. After going above the over/under line of 38.5 in their latest matchup against Utah, Arizona State now holds an over/under record of 3-5 for the season.
On offense, the Sun Devils come in with the 20th ranked offense in terms of passing attempts and are averaging 229 passing yards per game. In the running game, they are 77th in terms of attempts.
The Sun Devils defense will take the field with 22 sacks and are 1st QB hurries. When it comes to points allowed, they’re at 29.7 points per game (116th). Against the pass, the team is 91st in the NCAA, allowing 228.1 passing yards per game. Additionally, Arizona State’s run defense has 132.1 rushing yards per contest.
UCLA’s recent loss to Arizona brought their overall record down to 6-3. In the game, the Bruins suffered a 27-10 defeat.
After their game against Arizona State, UCLA’s ATS record is now 4-5, as they fell short of covering the spread despite being favored by 2.5. UCLA and Arizona fell short of the over/under line of 49.5 in their last game, producing a combined total of 37 points. UCLA’s over/under record for the season is 3-5.
On the offensive side, UCLA has averaged 28.6 points per game this season. This figure has them 51st in the NCAA. Their passing game, averaging 240.9 passing yards, is ranked 57th nationally. In terms of rushing, they’re 14th in rushing yards with an average of 367 rushing attempts per contest this season.
The Bruins’ defense has given up 71 rushing yards per game this season, which is 206th. Opponents are recording an average of 223.9 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks come in with a passer rating of 81.4 when playing against UCLA. In terms of points allowed, they currently sit 87th in NCAA rankings.
The most recent time UCLA and Arizona State met up, UCLA walked away with a 50-36 win. In the win, UCLA ran for 402 yards and threw for 169. On 3rd down, the Bruins went 9/11. On the other side, Arizona State completed 38 of their 49 passes for 349 yards and ran for 119 yards.
UCLA vs. Arizona State Odds Analysis
In the context of the current moneyline odds, UCLA currently holds a 91% implied win probability, accompanied by a moneyline payout of -1007. On the flip side, the Sun Devils’ implied win percentage is 14% with a moneyline of +610.
The oddsmakers opened this game with an over/under line of 48 and since then it has been bet down to its current line of 44.5, with the over paying out at -110 and under at -111.
Starting as 16.5 point favorites at home, UCLA has seen the lines move in their favor, now sitting at -17.
How to Bet UCLA vs. Arizona State in Arizona
Despite being 17-point underdogs at away, Arizona State’s pass defense look good against Arizona’s in their last game. I like their chances to cover vs. UCLA.
So far this season, Arizona State’s games have combined for 47.4 points. With the over/under line sitting at 44.5, I’m taking the over.
- ArizonaSharp ATS Predict: Arizona State +17
- ArizonaSharp OU Predict: Over 44.5