At 10:30 ET, the Beavers and Wildcats meet up at Arizona Stadium for a week 9 NCAAF matchup. The action will be broadcast on ESPN, and it’s all happening on Saturday, October 28th.
The Beavers are set as 3.5 point favorites on the road in this Pac-12 showdown. Can they pull off a road win and cover the spread?
Wildcats vs. Beavers Betting Analysis
Heading into this week’s matchup vs. Arizona, the Oregon State Beavers have an above .500 record of 6-1. This comes after taking down UCLA in their most recent game (36-24).
So far this year, the Beavers are 4-2 ATS. In their last game against UCLA, they were favored by 3.5 and successfully covered the spread. The Oregon State Beavers come into this week’s game with an over/under record of 4-2 after surpassing the over/under line of 53.5 with UCLA.
Oregon State’s offense is averaging 38.1 points per game, which ranks them 14th in the NCAA. Through the air, they’re at 249.1 passing yards on average, putting them at 56th in the nation. Their rushing attack is currently 24th in rushing yards, with an average of 247 rushing attempts per game this season.
Looking at this week’s game, the Oregon State defense stands at 69th in points allowed, permitting 20.3 points on average per game. So far, opposing teams have managed 219.1 passing yards per game against them (82nd). On the ground, they’re conceding 123 rushing yards, ranking them 50th in college football.
Heading into this week’s matchup vs. Oregon State, the Arizona Wildcats have an above .500 record of 4-3. This comes after taking down Washington State in their most recent game (44-6).
Wildcats added to their ATS record this season by covering the spread against Washington State, bringing it to 3-1. In their latest matchup, Arizona and Washington State failed to reach the over/under line of 58, posting a combined total of 50 points. Arizona’s current over/under record is 4-2.
Arizona’s rushing attack is ranked 64th in college football with 230 rushing attempts per game. This has translated into an average of 164.9 rushing yards per game, placing them 64th nationally. On average, they are attempting 36 passes per game leading to 287.6 passing yards per contest. In terms of scoring, they hold the 38th position, averaging 31.9 points per game.
This season, the Wildcats’ defense has allowed 96.6 rushing yards per game, ranking 189th. Opponents average 236.9 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks have put together a passer rating of 93.7 against Arizona. They hold the 69th position in NCAA points allowed.
The last five times Oregon State has played against Arizona on the road, they are above .500 at 3-2.
When looking back over the last ten head to head meetings between Arizona and Oregon State, Arizona hold the edge with an ATS record of 8-2.
Arizona vs. Oregon State Odds Analysis
The Beavers’ current moneyline payout is -165 compared to -182 where it opened. The implied win probabilities for each team sit at 62% for Oregon State and 43 for Arizona.
According to the oddsmakers, the initial over/under line for this game was set at 56. However, it has been bet up to its current line of 56.5, with the over now paying out at -110 and the under at -110.
From the time the lines were first released, Oregon State has gone from being -4.5 point favorites to their current line of -3.5 (-108). Conversely, Arizona is currently +3.5 (-113) point underdogs at home.
How to Bet Arizona vs. Oregon State in Arizona
Oregon State has struggled with turnovers in their passing game lately. As the home underdogs, I’m leaning towards Arizona to cover the spread at +3.5.
After crunching the numbers, our model is pointing to this game finishing with a combined 57 points. This projection has me feeling good about taking the over at 56.5.
- ArizonaSharp ATS Predict: Arizona +3.5
- ArizonaSharp OU Predict: Over 56.5