Kickoff for this matchup between the Arizona Wildcats and Arizona State Sun Devils is set for 3:30 PM ET. The game will be played in Tempe, AZ at Mountain America Stadium with ESPN carrying television coverage.
The Wildcats head into the game as the 12.5 point favorite to pick up the win. I handicapped this game for you, keep reading to get my analysis of this matchup.
Sun Devils vs. Wildcats Betting Analysis
After securing a 42-18 win against Utah, Arizona’s record now stands at 8-3 as they approach this week’s matchup with Arizona State.
The Wildcats have a 6-2 ATS record this season after successfully covering the spread against Utah. This week, the Arizona Wildcats bring an over/under record of 2-6 as they went over the set line of 46.5 against Utah.
Heading into their matchup vs. Arizona State, the Wildcats’ offense is averaging 154.9 rushing yards per game, along with 5 yards per attempt. They currently hold the 69th rank in rushing yards and 22nd rank in passing yards, amassing an average of 284.3 yards per game. In terms of scoring, Arizona is at 32.1 points per game, which is 32nd in the NCAA.
The Wildcats defense comes into the game with 29 sacks, and ranked 1st in QB hurries. In terms of points allowed, they are giving up 20.6 points per game (78th). When it comes to defending the pass, they are ranked 137th in the NCAA, allowing an average of 243 passing yards per game. Additionally, Arizona’s run defense comes in allowing 101.5 rushing yards per contest.
Arizona State enters this game with an overall record of 3-8. In their latest matchup, they faced a tough challenge and were defeated by Oregon with a final score of 49-13.
Facing Arizona as 24.5-point underdogs, Arizona State not only lost the game but also failed to cover the spread. Their ATS record for the season is 5-4-1. The over/under record for Arizona State this season is 2-6. This comes after they combined for 62 points in their previous game and an over/under line of 53.5.
On offense, the Sun Devils come in with the 16th ranked offense in terms of passing attempts and are averaging 222 passing yards per game. In the running game, they are 88th in terms of attempts.
Arizona State’s defense is ranked 84th in passing yards allowed per game as they prepare for this matchup. Opponents have attempted an average of 34.3 passing attempts against the Sun Devils. They have given up 29.4 points per game so far, placing them 124th in college football. In the NCAA’s rush defense category, they are 57th.
The most recent time Arizona and Arizona State met up, Arizona walked away with a 38-35 win. In the win, Arizona ran for 280 yards and threw for 200. On 3rd down, the Wildcats went 5/10. On the other side, Arizona State completed 37 of their 49 passes for 376 yards and ran for 161 yards.
Arizona State vs. Arizona Odds Analysis
In terms of the current moneyline odds, Arizona State is currently attributed a 23% probability of winning, with a moneyline payout of +330. Conversely, the Wildcats’ implied win percentage stands at 82% on a moneyline of -442.
The over/under line for this game currently remains the same as when it opened at 51. But there has been some movement on the payouts, as the under payout has shifted from -110 to its current value of -112.
Arizona is favored on the road by 12.5 points. Thus far, the point spread has seen limited movement, staying consistent with the opening lines.
How to Bet Arizona State vs. Arizona in Arizona
The Arizona passing game has faced issues with turnovers. As the underdogs at home, my pick is Arizona State to cover the spread at +12.5.
On the over/under, I have the best bet being to take the over at 51. This looks like a slam dunk bet for me, as my gut tells me the over will hit as well as our model projecting a combined 52 points.
- ArizonaSharp ATS Predict: Arizona State +12.5
- ArizonaSharp OU Predict: Over 51
