On Saturday, November 25th, the Sun Devils are hosting the Wildcats at Mountain America Stadium. This week 13 college football matchup kicks off at 3:30 ET with ESPN carrying the television coverage.
In this matchup of Pac-12 conference rivals, the Wildcats are listed as 12.5 point road favorites. Can they secure a road victory and cover the spread?
Sun Devils vs. Wildcats Betting Analysis
Arizona’s record has improved to 8-3 following their 42-18 win against Utah as they prepare for this week’s showdown with Arizona State.
Wildcats added to their ATS record this season by covering the spread against Utah, bringing it to 6-2. The over/under record for Arizona this season is 2-6. This comes after they combined for 60 points in their previous game and an over/under line of 46.5.
As they prepare to face the Arizona State, the Wildcats’ offense is averaging 154.9 rushing yards per game and 5 yards per attempt. Nationally, they are 69th in rushing yards and 22nd in passing yards, on an average of 284.3 yards per matchup. Arizona has averaged 32.1 points per game so far. This figure places them 32nd in the nation.
This season, the Wildcats’ defense has yielded an average of 101.5 rushing yards, earning them a rank of 191st. Opponents have an average of 243 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks attaining a passer rating of 91.9 when facing Arizona. They are currently 79th in points allowed in NCAA rankings.
Arizona State enters this game with an overall record of 3-8. In their latest matchup, they faced a tough challenge and were defeated by Oregon with a final score of 49-13.
In their recent game against Arizona, Arizona State was the underdog with a spread of 24.5 points and ended up losing without covering. Their ATS record for the season currently stands at 5-4-1. This week, the Arizona State Sun Devils bring an over/under record of 2-6 as they went over the set line of 53.5 against Oregon.
Arizona State’s rushing attack is ranked 88th in college football with 325 rushing attempts per game. This has translated into an average of 104.5 rushing yards per game, placing them 114th nationally. On average, they are attempting 37.8 passes per game leading to 222 passing yards per contest. In terms of scoring, they hold the 101st position, averaging 17.3 points per game.
This season, the Sun Devils’ defense has yielded an average of 138 rushing yards, earning them a rank of 155th. Opponents have an average of 239.4 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks attaining a passer rating of 98 when facing Arizona State. They are currently 33rd in points allowed in NCAA rankings.
The last time Arizona and Arizona State faced off came last year, ending in a 38-35 win for Arizona. Arizona will hope to run the ball well once again as the last time they faced up they put up 280 yards on the ground. As for Arizona State they finished with 537 yards of total offense compared to Arizona at 480.
Arizona State vs. Arizona Odds Analysis
As for the current moneyline odds, Arizona presently has 82% likelihood of victory, with a moneyline payout of -442. Meanwhile, the Sun Devils’ implied win percentage stands at 23% on a moneyline of +330.
The over/under line for this matchup has not shifted from its opening at 51. Nevertheless, there has been some activity on the payouts, with the under payout moving from -110 to its current value of -112.
The point spreads have seen minimal changes so far. Arizona currently holds the advantage with a 12.5 point spread and a payout of -112, while Arizona State is at +12.5 (-109).
How to Bet Arizona State vs. Arizona in Arizona
Even though Arizona State is the underdog at home, I like them to cover vs. Arizona. Look for Arizona State’s run defense to make things tough in the run game for Arizona.
Our model sees the over/under line for this matchup being to low and like the outlook of this game surpassing 51 points. The betting model spit out this game finishing with a combined 52 points.
- ArizonaSharp ATS Predict: Arizona State +12.5
- ArizonaSharp OU Predict: Over 51