At 1:00 ET, it’s a week 13 NFL battle between the Steelers and Cardinals at Acrisure Stadium. Don’t miss it on CBS as the game takes place on Sunday, December 3rd.
In this non-conference matchup, the Steelers are favored by 5.5 to secure the win. Is betting on them to cover the spread the right choice, or should you consider the Cardinals for better value? Keep reading to learn more.
Steelers vs. Cardinals Betting Analysis
Taking on the Steelers, the Cardinals will look to improve on their record of 2-10. This mark has them in 4th in the NFC-West and 15th in the NFC. Arizona come in with average scoring margin of -9.6. Their ATS record stands at 6-6, and they have been the underdog in all of their games.
The Cardinals couldn’t take advantage of their one-point first quarter lead. On offense, the Cardinals averaged 4.9 yards per rushing attempt and finished with 292 yards of total offense. The Rams ended the game with a total of 457 yards. Arizona’s 23 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 3 point underdogs. Quarterback Kyler Murray threw for one touchdown and ran for 1 score. Murray completed 60% of his passes for 256 yards.
The Steelers’ week 13 matchup vs. Arizona will be their 7th home game of the season. On the road, they have gone 4-2 and are 7-4 overall. In the AFC-North, Pittsburgh is 2nd and 5th in the AFC. The Steelers currently hold a 7-4 record against the spread. Currently, their average scoring margin is -2.1.
On offense, the Steelers racked up 421 yards in their 16-10 win over the Bengals. For the game, the Steelers ran for 153 yards on an average of 4.6 yards per attempt. Defensively, they allowed 222 yards of total offense with 197 yards coming through the air and 25 on the ground. Going into the game, Pittsburgh was favored by 2 and went on to cover the spread. Kenny Pickett did not throw or run for a touchdown, while completing 24 of 33 passes for 278 yards. Pickett ended the game with a passer rating of 97.
Last season, the Cardinals and Steelers did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Steelers have the leg up at 3-0. The Steelers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0. These games averaged a combined total of 42 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
Steelers vs. Cardinals Odds Analysis
Since opening at -146 on the moneyline, Pittsburgh has shifted to -257, resulting in an implied win percentage of 72%. As for Arizona, they currently possess implied odds of 33% with a moneyline of +206. The Cardinals’ moneyline initially opened at +124.
The over/under line for this matchup has remained consistent since its opening at 39.5. Yet, there has been some action in the payouts, with the under payout changing from -114 to its current value of -110.
Starting as 2.5 point favorites at home, Pittsburgh has seen the lines move in their favor, now sitting at -5.5.
How to Bet Steelers vs. Cardinals in Arizona
Even though the Steelers picked up a win in their previous game, they got off to a slow start on offense. Despite being favored vs. the Cardinals, I like the Cardinals to cover the spread (+5.5).
I’m taking the under with the current over/under line at 39.5. Throughout the season, games involving Pittsburgh have averaged 35.2 points per game, and I anticipate this game will not exceed 39.5.
- ArizonaSharp ATS Prediction: Cardinals +5.5
- ArizonaSharp OU Predict: Under 39.5