Looking to win big? The Nuggets and Suns face off at 10:00 ET on ESPN. The Suns are hosting the game at Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ. The Nuggets are the favorites in this Western conference matchup the against the Suns. The over/under for the game is set at 224 points.
Over the Nuggets’ last five games, they are 3-2 and come in with an overall record of 13-6. Away from home, the Nuggets have a 4-6 record this season, while maintaining a 9-0 record in their home games.
Denver’s ATS record is currently below .500 at 7-11 for the season. On the road, the Nuggets have an ATS record of 2-8, as opposed to a 5-3 record against the spread when playing at home.
Denver finished with 134 points in their game against the Rockets. This total surpasses their season-average of 114.2 points per game. Leading the Nuggets in scoring vs. the Rockets was Nikola Jokic with his 32 points. Michael Porter Jr. also added 30 points for the Nuggets.
Coming into the game, the Nuggets defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 31.6% of their games. Currently, they are 7th in the NBA at 109.7 points per game allowed.
In their previous game, the Nuggets’ defense struggled against the Rockets, giving up 124 points on a field goal percentage of 54%.
The Suns will face the Nuggets bringing in an overall record of 11-7 and a 3-0 record over their previous three games. The team is currently 5th in the Western Conference, and they are also 1st in the Pacific division.
Phoenix has a .500 ATS record so far this season, marked at 9-9. This season, Phoenix has a 6-8 record against the spread when they are favored, and they are 3-1 when playing as underdogs.
The Suns offense is coming off a game where they scored 105 points against the Raptors. They posted a field goal percentage of 40.4% and connected on 7 threes. The team’s top scorer is Kevin Durant, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 31.3, while Devin Booker also maintains a PPG average of 27.3 leading up to the game.
At this time, the Suns’ defense is positioned 17th in the NBA, permitting 113.2 points per game.
On two point field goal attempts, the Suns’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 51.9% and allowing 35.1% from beyond the arc.
The Nuggets had a record of 2-2 against the Phoenix Suns during the 2022-2023 season. The scoring average in games between the two teams was 225.8 points. Additionally, the Nuggets had an ATS record of 1-3 against the Suns during the same season.
The Nuggets and Suns did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Nuggets have a record of 2-1. The Nuggets also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 232 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2. As the host vs. the Nuggets, the Suns have gone 0-3 vs the spread.
How to Bet Suns vs. Nuggets in Arizona
Coming in as the underdogs at +2.5, we have the Suns as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline. As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 224 and our model has the Nuggets and Suns finishing with a combined 227 points. Our pick is to take the over.
- ArizonaSharp ATS Prediction: Suns +2.5
- ArizonaSharp OU Predict: Over 224
