At 2:00 ET, it’s a week 11 NCAAF battle between the Buffaloes and Wildcats at Folsom Field. Don’t miss it on PACN as the game takes place on Saturday, November 11th.
The Wildcats are set as 10.5 point favorites on the road in this Pac-12 showdown. Can they pull off a road win and cover the spread?
Buffaloes vs. Wildcats Betting Analysis
Arizona’s record has improved to 6-3 following their 27-10 win against UCLA as they prepare for this week’s showdown with Colorado.
Arizona improved their ATS record to 5-1 this season after covering the spread against UCLA. Arizona and UCLA fell short of the over/under line of 49.5 in their last game, producing a combined total of 37 points. Arizona’s over/under record for the season is 0-6.
The Wildcats’ heads into the game, averaging 152.8 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. Overall, they’re 72nd in rushing yards and 72nd in passing yards at 287.6 yards per contest. Arizona is averaging 30.8 points per game, which is 38th in the nation.
The Wildcats defense will take the field with 23 sacks and are 1st QB hurries. When it comes to points allowed, they’re at 19.8 points per game (68th). Against the pass, the team is 101st in the NCAA, allowing 232.3 passing yards per game. Additionally, Arizona’s run defense has 102.3 rushing yards per contest.
Colorado has an overall record of 4-5 as they prepare for this game. In their most recent game, they faced Oregon State and were unable to secure a win, resulting in a 26-19 loss the Beavers.
The Buffaloes have a 5-1-1 ATS record so far this season, including covering the spread against Oregon State. Colorado and Oregon State fell short of the over/under line of 59.5 in their most recent game, tallying a combined total of 45 points. This result contributed to Colorado’s over/under record for the season, which stands at 0-6.
Colorado comes into the game with an offense averaging 30.7, which places them at 39th in the NCAA rankings. Their passing game has them ranked 7th nationally, with an average of 320.6 passing yards. In the rushing department, they’re 125th in the nation, with 269 rushing attempts per game for the season.
On defense, the Buffaloes defense has 23 sacks and are 1st in QB hurries. So far, teams are scoring 33.9 points per game against them (131st). In terms of pass defense, they’re ranked 181st in the NCAA, allowing 300.7 passing yards per game. Moreover, Colorado’s run defense is allowing 168.4 rushing yards per contest.
Arizona took the most recent game between the team’s, picking up the 43-20 win over Colorado. In the game, Arizona threw for 495 yards while averaging 14.6 yards per completion. Colorado ran for 154 compared to 178 for Arizona.
Colorado vs. Arizona Odds Analysis
Currently, Arizona has an implied win percentage of 81% with a moneyline payout of -431. Arizona actually opened at -385 on the moneyline. As for Colorado, they opened at +300 and are currently at +317 with an implied win percentage of 24%.
According to the oddsmakers, the initial over/under line for this game was set at 56. However, it has been bet down to its current line of 54.5, with the over now paying out at -114 and the under at -107.
Starting as 9.5 point favorites on the road, Arizona has seen the lines move in their favor, now sitting at -10.5.
How to Bet Colorado vs. Arizona in Arizona
Arizona has been dealing with turnovers in their passing game so far this year. My point spread pick is to take Colorado to cover the spread at +10.5.
Heading into this matchup, Arizona’s games have averaged 50.6 points per game. Given that the over/under line for this matchup is at 54.5, I’m taking the under.
- ArizonaSharp ATS Predict: Colorado +10.5
- ArizonaSharp OU Predict: Under 54.5