On Thursday, December 28th at 9:15 PM ET, the Oklahoma Sooners and Arizona Wildcats face off at Alamodome in San Antonio, TX. ESPN will carry the TV coverage for the game.
In this non-conference matchup, the Wildcats are favored by 3 to secure the win. Is betting on them to cover the spread the right choice, or should you consider the Sooners for better value? Keep reading to learn more.
Sooners vs. Wildcats Betting Analysis
Arizona’s record has improved to 9-3 following their 59-23 win against Arizona State as they prepare for this week’s showdown with Oklahoma.
The Wildcats currently hold a 7-2 ATS record. They were favorited by 12.5 in their recent matchup against Arizona State and covered the spread. This week, the Arizona Wildcats bring an over/under record of 3-6 as they went over the set line of 50 against Arizona State.
The Wildcats’ offense is set to face Oklahoma while averaging 149.9 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. In the national rankings, they currently stand at 77th for rushing yards and 13th for passing yards, with an average of 304.5 yards per matchup. Overall, Arizona is putting up 34.3 points per game, which is 25th nationally.
The Wildcats defense faces off against Oklahoma with 31 sacks and are 1st in QB hurries. When it comes to points allowed, they’re giving up 20.8 points per game which is 71st in the nation. Against the pass, they’re 100th in the NCAA, allowing 229.6 passing yards per game. Arizona’s run defense is yielding 111.7 rushing yards per contest.
Oklahoma’s 69-45 victory against TCU has put their record at 10-2 as they gear up for this week’s clash with Arizona.
The Sooners’s ATS record stands at 8-4 for the year. In their last game vs. TCU, they were favored by 10.5 and managed to cover on the spread. This week, the Oklahoma Sooners bring an over/under record of 3-6 as they went over the set line of 64 against TCU.
The Sooners’ offense is set to face Arizona while averaging 182.2 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. In the national rankings, they currently stand at 40th for rushing yards and 7th for passing yards, with an average of 321.8 yards per matchup. Overall, Oklahoma is putting up 43.2 points per game, which is 5th nationally.
This season, the Sooners’ defense has allowed 148.2 rushing yards per game, ranking 138th. Opponents average 242.2 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks have put together a passer rating of 72 against Oklahoma. They hold the 74th position in NCAA points allowed.
In the last three games that Oklahoma has hosted Arizona, they are a perfect 3-0.
As the favorite, Arizona is 2-1 in their last three games against Oklahoma.
Oklahoma vs. Arizona Odds Analysis
In terms of the current moneyline odds, Arizona currently has a 59% probability of winning, with a moneyline payout of -146. Conversely, the Sooners’ implied win percentage stands at 45% on a moneyline of +121.
The oddsmakers initially set the over/under line for this game at 64.5, but it has since been wagered down to its current line of 63, with the over paying out at -108 and the under at -113.
From the time the lines were first established, Arizona has shifted from -1.5 point favorites to their present line of -3 (-109). Meanwhile, Oklahoma is currently +3 (-112) point underdogs at home.
How to Bet Oklahoma vs. Arizona in Arizona
Coming in as the 3-point favorites on the road, I like Arizona to cover the spread. Arizona’s offense is coming off a good performance vs. Arizona State and should carry that momentum into this week’s matchup vs. Oklahoma.
On the over/under, I have the best bet being to take the over at 63. This looks like a slam dunk bet for me, as my gut tells me the over will hit as well as our model projecting a combined 64 points.
- ArizonaSharp ATS Predict: Arizona -3
- ArizonaSharp OU Predict: Over 63
