Sports Picks

Free Phoenix Suns Betting Pick – NBA Thursday, January 11th Pick vs Lakers


The Suns and Lakers are set to face off at 10:00 ET on TNT. The Lakers will host the game at Arena in Los Angeles, CA. This Pacific division matchup has an over/under of 237.5 points, and the Lakers are favored to win at home vs. the Suns.

The Suns are 19-18 this season and are currently 8th in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 7-4 compared to 12-14 against other Western Conference teams.

As the underdog, Phoenix has gone 3-8 straight up and 4-7 ATS. They have also lost three straight games as the underdog. For the season, their average scoring differential as the underdog is -7 points per game.

On the road, the Suns have gone 8-7 straight up and 6-9 ATS. Their average scoring differential on the road is -0.6 PPG. Against the spread, they have lost two straight games on the road.

Phoenix’s O/U record for the season is 21-16. In their last two games, the final score has gone over the O/U line. This year, 32 of their 37 games have had lower O/U lines than 237.5.

In their last game, the Suns lost to the Clippers by a score of 138-111. They were also underdogs in that game, going in as 5-point underdogs. The combined scoring in the game was 249, and the O/U line was 234.5.

The Suns are averaging 115.2 points per game this season and are coming off a game where they scored 111 points. Over their last three games, the Suns have an effective field goal percentage of 54.5% compared to their season-long EFG of 54% (12th). In their five most recent games, Phoenix is shooting 36.5% from three-point range, which is 16th in the league.

Coming into today’s game, the Suns’ defense is giving up an average of 114.5 points per contest. On two point field goal attempts, the Suns’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 53.6% and allowing 36.8% from beyond the arc.

At 19-19, the Lakers are currently 9th in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 5-7 compared to 14-12 against other Western Conference teams.

At home, the Lakers are 13-6 straight up and 8-11 against the spread. They have won two straight home games and are 4-1 in their last five games overall.

Los Angeles has been the favorite in 23 of their 38 games this season and has a record of 15-8 in those games. However, they have failed to cover the spread in three straight games as the favorite.

For the season, the Lakers have an average scoring differential of +3.5 points per game as the favorite and +5.2 PPG at home. Against the spread, they are 9-14 as the favorite.

The Lakers’ last game was a 132-131 win over the Raptors, with a pregame over/under line of 237.5. The teams combined for 263 points, and the Lakers won by just one point as 4.5-point favorites.

On the other hand, the Suns are 4-11 as the underdog this season and have an ATS record of 7-8 in those games. As the favorite, the Lakers are 16-22 ATS this season and have an ATS losing streak of three games.

This season, the Lakers have had an average over/under line of 229.5, with 34 of their 38 games having lower lines than today’s line of 237.5. Their games have averaged 229 points per game this season, and their O/U record is 20-18.

In their game against the Raptors, the Lakers scored 132 points which is more than their season average of 114 points per game. Anthony Davis led the Lakers in scoring with 41 points while LeBron James added 22 points.

Currently, the Lakers’ defense holds the 16th rank in the NBA, allowing 115.1 points per game. On two point field goal attempts, the Lakers’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 52.8% and allowing 38.4% from beyond the arc.

Last season, the Suns and Lakers did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Lakers have the leg up at 3-0. The Lakers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 214 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2. As the host vs. the Suns, the Lakers have gone 1-1-1 vs the spread.

How to Bet Lakers vs. Suns in Arizona

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +1.5, the Suns is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout. As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 237.5, and our model projects the Suns and Lakers to reach a combined total of 233 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

  • ArizonaSharp ATS Prediction: Suns +1.5
  • ArizonaSharp OU Predict: Under 237.5

Where to bet Lakers vs. Suns in Arizona

  • Bet this game at BetMGM
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