The Suns and Heat are set to face off at 7:30 ET on NBA. The Heat will host the game at Kaseya Center in Miami, FL. The over/under for this game is set at 229.5 points, and the Heat are the home favorites against the Suns in a non-conference matchup.
Today, the Suns are looking to snap a two-game losing streak as they take on the Heat. Phoenix is currently 26-20 overall, which is good for 6th place in the Western Conference.
In the West, the Suns are 17-14 against other conference opponents and 5-7 against teams in the Pacific Division. This season, they are 9-6 against non-conference teams.
Against the spread, the Suns have gone 16-29 this season and are 9-12 ATS on the road. As the underdog, they are 4-8 straight-up and 5-7 vs. the spread.
On average, the Suns’ games have finished with 230.8 points per game, which is slightly higher than today’s O/U line of 229.5. This season, they have a 23-23 O/U record.
Phoenix’s last game was a 113-98 loss to the Magic. The O/U line for that game was 227, and the Suns were favored by 1.5 points going into the game.
For the season, the Suns have gone 12-8 on the road and have an ATS record of 9-12 on the road. Currently, they are 3rd in the Pacific Division.
In their most recent game, the Suns scored 98 points against the Magic. They shot 56.2% from the field overall and made 4 threes. So far, the Suns haven’t relied heavily on the three-pointer, as they only take 31.4 per game. Overall, they shoot 49% from the field and average 97.9 possessions per game.
Currently, the Suns’ defense holds the 15th rank in the NBA, allowing 114.4 points per game. In their previous matchup vs. the Magic, the Suns’ defense struggled, giving up a field goal percentage of 56% leading to 113 points.
Miami’s O/U record for the season is 20-26, and the team’s games have averaged 222 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 229.5 points, and the team has gone over the total in their last two games.
In their last game against the Knicks, the two teams combined for 234 points, surpassing the O/U line of 220.5. Miami lost the game by a score of 125-109.
The Heat are 24-22 this season, which puts them in 7th place in the Eastern Conference. In the Southeast Division, they are in 1st place.
Miami has lost six straight games, and they are favored by 3.5 points today. As the favorite, Miami has a record of 18-9 and is 11-14 against the spread as the favorite.
Against other Eastern Conference teams, the Heat are 18-15 compared to 6-7 in non-conference games. Their ATS record vs. the East is 19-25, and they have an ATS record of 8-14 at home.
In 69.6% of their games this season, the Heat offense has scored below what their opponents allow on average. On the season, Miami is 27th in scoring with 110.5 points per game. Looking at their last three games, the Heat have a 51.3% effective field goal percentage, which is lower than their season average of 53% (22nd). Over their most recent five games, Miami is shooting 35.9% from three, which is 14th in the league.
Coming into today’s game, the Heat’s defense is giving up an average of 111.6 points per contest. In the terms of takeaways, Heat are causing 12.5 turnovers per game, ranking 10th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 30th in rejections, averaging 3.3 blocked shots each game.
Last season, the Suns and Heat did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Heat have the leg up at 2-1. However, against the spread the Suns went 2-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 1-2 on an average of 211 points per game. The last three times, the Suns have matched up against the Heat on the road, they are 3-0 vs. the spread.
How to Bet Heat vs. Suns in Arizona
As the underdogs with a spread of +3.5, we recommend going with the Suns on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline. As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 229.5 and our model has the Suns and Heat finishing with a combined 236 points. Our pick is to take the over.
- ArizonaSharp ATS Prediction: Suns +3.5
- ArizonaSharp OU Predict: Over 229.5
