On Sunday, October 1st at 4:25 PM ET, the Arizona Cardinals and San Francisco 49ers at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, CA. FOX is carrying television coverage the for game.
The odds for this week 4 NFC matchup have the 49ers as the 14 point favorites at home. Will the 49ers pull this one out? Find out how I see this game playing out on Sunday.
49ers vs. Cardinals Betting Analysis
As they face the 49ers, the Cardinals will be looking to improve upon their 1-2 record. This has them positioned 4th in the NFC-West and 13th in the NFC. The Cardinals’ current scoring margin stands at +1.7, which has them coming in with a 3-0 ATS record.
On offense, the Cardinals racked up 400 yards in their 28-16 win over the Cowboys. For the game, the Cardinals ran for 222 yards on an average of 7.4 yards per attempt. Defensively, they allowed 416 yards of total offense with 231 yards coming through the air and 185 on the ground. Arizona went into the game as the underdog (+11.5), giving them a straight-up and ATS win. Joshua Dobbs threw for 189 yards while completing 81% of his passes and throwing for 189. Dobbs threw for one touchdown.
As the 49ers face off against their division rival, they are 3-0 overall and have gone 1-0 in their one division game. Heading into week 4, the 49ers are in 1st place in the NFC-West. When looking at how they have played at home, they are 1-0 so far this year. The 49ers have put together a record of 2-0-1 against the spread. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +16.
In the 49ers’ win over the Giants, the 49ers’ offense finished with 441 yards of offense compared to the Giants’ 150. The 49ers went 9/16 on 3rd down, while the Giants converted on 56.2% of their 3rd down attempts. Going into the game, San Francisco was favored by 10.5 and went on to cover the spread. Quarterback Brock Purdy had a big game, throwing for 310 yards on a passer rating of 111. Purdy completed 67% of 37 attempts in the game.
The 49ers are hoping to build off last year’s success over the Cardinals as they went 2-0 in their head-to-head meetings. The two teams averaged a combined 49.5 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-0. Against the spread, the 49ers went 2-0. Offensively, the 49ers averaged 349 yards per game in the head-to-head matchups compared to the Cardinals at 284.5 yards.
49ers vs. Cardinals Odds Analysis
In the context of the current moneyline odds, San Francisco currently holds a 90% implied win probability, accompanied by a moneyline payout of -893. On the flip side, the Cardinals’ implied win percentage is 15% with a moneyline of +578.
According to the oddsmakers, the initial over/under line for this game was set at 43.5. However, it has been bet up to its current line of 44, with the over now paying out at -110 and the under at -110.
From the time the lines were first released, San Francisco has transitioned from -10.5 point favorites to their current line of -14 (-110). Conversely, Arizona is currently +14 (-110) point underdogs on the road.
How to Bet 49ers vs. Cardinals in Arizona
In this game, I’m favoring Arizona to cover the spread as 14-point underdogs. Arizona showcased an effective ground game in their last matchup with New York, and I anticipate a similar performance this week. I’m locking in my bet on Arizona before the kickoff.
For this week’s matchup, I’m going with the under. The over/under line of 44 is set higher than the lines in all of Arizona’s previous games. We believe this line is sitting to high for this matchup, and our expectation is that the game will not surpass 44 points.
- ArizonaSharp ATS Prediction: Cardinals +14
- ArizonaSharp OU Predict: Under 44